The Emmy race is on — and it's sure to bring the drama. And comedy. And comedy that maybe should reclassify itself as a drama. (Looking at you, The Bear.)

Will today's frontrunners keep their momentum between now and when final-round voting closes on August 26? Here are Entertainment Weekly's picks for who should and will win in Comedy, Drama, and Limited Series. Don't forget, a lot can change in just a few months (see: our current presidential race), so check back for updates.

Katie Yu/FX/Courtesy of FX via Everett Collection; Daniel Escale/Netflix

The Crown, NetflixFallout, Prime VideoThe Gilded Age, HBOThe Morning Show, Apple TV+Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Prime VideoShōgun, FXSlow Horses, Apple TV+3 Body Problem, Netflix

Who will/should win: ShōgunThe Crown has been nominated in this category every season, winning once in 2021. Had Shōgun not made a late-in-the-game switch from limited series to drama, The Crown's final season would be the frontrunner to take the win here. But Shōgun — an epic achievement and the recipient of 25 nominations, the most of any title this year — has the momentum, at least for now.

Chuck Hodes/FX; Shane Brown/FX on Hulu/Courtesy Everett Collection

Abbott Elementary, ABCThe Bear, FX Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBOHacks, MaxOnly Murders in the Building, HuluPalm Royale, Apple TV+Reservation Dogs, FX on HuluWhat We Do in the Shadows, FX

Who will win: The BearSeason 2 of The Bear was magnificent, so I'm not mad about its inevitable win. But...

Who should win: Reservation DogsWhat a shame that this transcendent, unique, and astoundingly moving coming-of-age comedy from Sterlin Harjo and Taika Waititi will end its three-season run with just one nomination in this category.

Check out more from EW's The Awardist, featuring exclusive interviews, analysis, and our podcast diving into all the highlights from the year's best in TV.

Netflix (2)

Baby Reindeer, NetflixFargo, FXLessons in Chemistry, Apple TV+Ripley, NetflixTrue Detective: Night Country, HBO

Who will win: Baby ReindeerThe big winner with Shōgun's move to drama? Netflix's word-of-mouth phenomenon Baby Reindeer, which is the clear frontrunner (despite that $170 million defamation lawsuit).

Who should win: RipleyWhile Baby Reindeer is a compelling, emotionally complex watch, overall, it's less creatively successful than Steven Zaillian's Ripley. The stunning exploration of Patricia Highsmith's infamous con artist is exquisite on all fronts, from Robert Elswit's glorious, black-and-white cinematography to Andrew Scott's chilling charm as Tom.

The Emmys are voted on each year by the members of the Television Academy. The final round of voting will come to a close on Aug. 26, and the 2024 Emmys will air live on Sept. 15 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on ABC.